The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
Pets First Florida Hoodie TShirt, MediumClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Petmate Vari Portable Fashion Kennel 19 in. ExtraSmallPetmate Walkabout 3 Tape Reflective Collar, CoralGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Petnap Flexiguard 33 Metal chew proof electric Cat Dog heat pad mat 33cm x 22cmsince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Pets First NBA Lakers Dog Cheerleader Dress, SmallPets First NFL Oakland Raiders VNeck Dog Sweater, Large
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.PetnapUK Heated Pet Outdoor Plastic Moulded Cat Pod Sun Shelter Kennel House Rabbit Animal Pod (US Plug Adaptor) Also Good for Guinea Pig Hutch Hedgehog (Red)
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Pets First SDC4007SM NFL Los Angeles Chargers Cheerleader Dress for Dogs & Cats, Small, NFL Team colorPets Harness Seatbelt Set, Cats Vest Harness with Comfort Soft Gilet for Trip and Daily Use, Adjustable Elastic Strap, Polyester Fabric Vest for Dogs Road Travel WalksPet's House HYDOR EXTERNAL ETH AQUARIUM HEATERS FISH TANK MARINE FRESHWATER W THERMAL WATER
Thunder Snow (20-1):PetNatura Black Hair Shampoo 5L for Dogs and Cats This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Gardman BA01645 Natural Pine Bird Table
- Ihoming Pet Collar Leash Set Halloween Bat Combo Safety Set for Daily Outdoor Walking Running Training Small Medium Large Dogs Cats bluee Paisley Extra Small
- KESS InHouse Trebam Kaktus bluee Black Digital Pet Bowl, 7 Diameter
- Mirage Pet Products Patent 3 8Inch Pearl and Crystal Pet Collar, Size 14, Red
- Pet Carrier Backpack,Acrylic Space Capsule,Portable Go Out Wear Resistant NonSlip Canvas Breathable Capsule Shaped Travel Double Shoulders Space Pet Backpack
- Precious Tails ST18FDTAN Round Pet Bed Red Felted Domocile Dome with Fur Sherpa Fleece Interior Paw Embroidery , Tan
- Fluval Hagen Sea Nano Marine and Reef Performance Led Lamp
- Rainbow Cat Charmer Interactive Cat Wand Toy,2 Piece
- Black Silver Full Black Silver Full Weatherbeeta Anti Static Fleece Quarter Sheet
- 10KG Kockney Koi Yamitsu Bombay Mix Floating Pellets Sticks Koi goldfish Fish Food 10kg
- Grey 21\ Grey 21\ Pets Product Universial Birdcage Cover-PONY DANCE Blackout & Breathable Birdcage Cover for Birds Sleep & Rest,Small,Grey, 21 L x 21 W x 28 H
- bluee Christmas Snowflake Dog Leash 3 4 Medium
- Black X-Small Black X-Small Leather Bredhers 6 x 1 2-Feet Latigo Dog Lead, X-Small, Black
- Oster Take Down Quick TDQ Professional Animal Clipper Blade, Size Medium