The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Bergan 88045 Large Comfort Carrier Soft Sided Pet Carrier, BlackCroc, Pink, M Parisian Pet Small Dog Carrier Pet Carrier for Cats and Dog Carriers for Small Dogs Dog Purse and Cat Carrier Airline Approved Pet Carrier Dog Travel Bag Small Pet Carrier Handbag
Mudders with potential:
C 4030cm C 4030cm Lozse Pet Beds Pet Nest Mat Dog mat summer cool biting pet nest for Dogs and Cats Sleeping CushionClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
3500L H Submersible Garden Fish Pond Pump Ultra-Silent Energy Saving Frequency Conversion, Large Chassis Aquarium Circulation Pump Voltage \ T,3500L HKESS InHouse Afe Images Gardening Tools Pattern Teal Abstract Dog Bed, 30 x 40 Gormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Equinox Pet Supplies Farrier Loop Knife Medium Loop Plastic Bakelite Handle Vet Searcher Hoof Knifesince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
(15cm x 15cm, Silver) Dicor Diseal Tape 15cm x 15cm Patch Silver 522AF-66-1C110V PID Dual Relay 110V PID Dual Relay INCHOI- Digital LCD Temperature Controller, PID Thermostat Meter with NTC Sensor Temperature Probe, 2 Relay for Aquarium, Reptile, Seed Germination, Hatch, Incubation, Wine, Greenhouse (110V 10A)
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.DIYthinker Sunshine Sun Hand Painting orange Anti-Slip Floor Pet Mat Square Home Kitchen Door 80Cm Gift
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
KESS InHouse KESS Original Monogram Chevron Red Letter L Feeding Mat for Pet Bowl, 24 by 15-InchLuxury Orthopedic Cozy Cave Large PinkGperw Dog Cat Warm Winter Bed Victorian Stripes House Soft Luxury Basket For Pets Puppy Non Slip Cushion Pad
Thunder Snow (20-1):GigaTent Pop-up Critter Cabin II This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Eco-Lucks Holiday Dog Collar, Frost N' Folly, Small 10 x 15
- Coastal Dog Toys Rascals 2.5 Latex Pig by Coastal [Pet Supplies]
- KESS InHouse Miranda Mol Triangle Opticals Pink Multicolor Pet Bowl, 7
- Mesh Cover Durable Pet Puppy Dog Cat Small Animals Outdoor Travel Carrier Backpack Outdoor Travel
- Pet Backpack Travel Outdoor Bag Portable Dog Purse Soft and Comfortable Oxford Cloth Breathable Handbag
- Pink Pet Stroller with One Hand Folding Threewheeled Pet Dog Cart can Bear 15kg (color Pink)
- Scooter's Friends Quilted Velvet Dog Coat, Size 18, Amethyst
- D JIY-Play Towers & Trees Knitted cat climbing frame wrought iron sisal cat jumping cat tree one cat supplies toys summer cat house (color D)
- Large Reflective Nylon Braided Heavy Duty Dog Training Leash for Large and Medium Dogs Walking Leads
- Flamingo Azure Plane Decoration for Aquarium 35 x 25 x 18 cm
- Cottage Craft Sliding Cheek Weymouth Bit 4 inch Grey
- Oxbow Pure Comfort Bedding Oxbow Blend 127 L
- Red XGPT Pet Carrier dog backpack Breathable portable solid color space bag
- Water Feeder Dish Plastic Double Non-Slip Pet Bowl for Dogs Puppy Cats Food Water Feeder Pets Feeding Dishes Dog Bowls Pet Feeding Supplies Type 3
- Blagdon Affinity Half Moon Affinity Mocha Weave Living Feature Pool
- Coastal Pet Products DCP89053 Titan Dog Medium Tie Out Cable, 30Feet
- Cream Espresso MediumFurhaven Pet Products Furhaven Pet Nap Terry and Suede Deluxe 27 by 36Inch Memory Foam Pet Bed, Large, Forest
- Dog Car Seat Cover, Waterproof & Scratch Proof & Nonslip Back Seat Cover, with Seat Anchors, Universal fits All Cars, Pet Cover,Black
- Foldable Car Carrier Bag Pet Travel Messenger Tote Soft Kennel
- HU Pet Nest Cationic Oxford Cloth Waterproof And Breathable Thickening Environmentally Friendly Comfort Mat (Size M)
- Kess InHouse Mydeas Asian Motif Damask Red Pattern Feeding Mat for Pet Bowls, 24 by 15
- MFZJ Pet Trolley Bag Dog Outing Carrying Bag Dog Bag Car Cage Dog Backpack Cat Bag Pet Bag 66 37 36Cm
- Kess InHouse Angie Turner Barn Top Wooden Feeding Mat for Pet Bowl, 18 by 13
- Black X-Large Black X-Large Centaur Lycra Shoulder Guard
- DIYthinker Reach Out Gesture Silhouette Pattern Anti-Slip Floor Pet Mat Square Home Kitchen Door 80Cm Gift
- Outdoor MultiFunction Pet Travel Bag Small and Medium Dog Cat Handbag
- Petco Wagatude I'd Rather Be Playing Ball Dog TShirt, XXSmall
- ROMA REVERSIBLE SOFTIE WITHER RELIEF DRESSAGE SADDLE PAD