The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
Eheim Tool 3590000 Plant Tongs, 24 Classic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Buckle-Down DLS-W30776 Leash Splitter-Germany Flag Weathered, 1 W-30 LHorizont Stallmaster 2, 230 VoltGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Dean & Tyler 34 to 47-Inch Navy Seal Dog Pet Harness with Padded Reflective Chest Straps, Large, orange Blacksince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
DIYthinker Peking Opera Facial Mask colorful Suowulong Anti-Slip Floor Pet Mat Square Home Kitchen Door 80Cm GiftHartman & pink 13499 Regency Dog Lead, 1 2-Inch, Red Patent
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.IRIS Plastic Pet Playpen 2-Panel Add-on for 4-Panel Pen by IRIS USA, Inc.
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
bluee LXLA Foldable 2 Steps Pet Stairs for Dogs and Cats, Removable Washable, Great for Couch and High Bed, 70×40×9cm (color bluee)1 Pet Stair 4 Steps Climbing Ladder Cat and Dog Training Steps Removable & Washable Cover Anti-Slip Stairs, 40cm × 80cm × 40cm (color 1 )Dean and Tyler TRANQUILITY , Leather Dog Choke Collar with Solid Brass Hardware Brown Size 18-Inch by 1 2-Inch Fits Neck 16-Inch to 18-Inch
Thunder Snow (20-1):Havana UK Size Cob Havana UK Size Cob Mark Todd Figure of 8 Performance Bridle (UK Size Cob) (Havana) This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
Dog Cat Pet Charms Feliz Navidad Screen Print Shirts Baby bluee XXL (18)As-picture 272942cm As-picture 272942cm HYUE Breathable Space Backpack Cat Out Backpack，Carry a pet Backpack for Outdoor Travel (color, Size 27 29 42cm)
- Black STD Black STD Equine Couture Beatta All Purpose Saddle Pad
- 1\ Buckle-Down Seatbelt Buckle Dog Collar Diamond bluee Ranger 1 Wide Fits 15-26 Neck Large
- Kess InHouse Gukuuki Pastel Fluers Fleece Dog Bed, 50 by 60 , Pink White
- MAOFA Space Pet Bag Diagonal Pet Shoulder Bag Portable Pet Bag 1 big
- Pattern19 W63 x L63 Beihai1Sun Fish Modes Darkening Curtains Rainbow Patterned Aquatic Creatures Silhouettes and Stripes Marine Fauna Aquarium Privacy Assured Window Treatment Multicolor W72 x L45
- PETRLOY Red Model Racing ShapeShift RC Action Car Wireless 20M Remote Control Robot Car USB Charging Kids Interactive 1 14 Scale Model Car Cool Light Music Car 360° redating Hobby Toys Vehicles
- Rubie's Costume 580659S Co Walking Vet Pet Costume, Small
- Hikari Cichlid gold By Floating Large Pellet 250G Pack Of Two
- Calcite (Calcium Carbonate) pH Filter Media 1 2 cu. ft
- 1 GDDYQ Pet Bag, Breathable and Lightweight Pet Bag, Suitable for Cats and Small Dogs, Hiking, Anti-escape Buckle,1
- 20 lb 16% Laying Mash (20 lb)
- Orvis Comfortfill Couch Dog Bed Medium Dogs Up To 18-27 Kg, Grey Lab Plaid
- Red Sea Fish Pharm ARE21415 Saltwater Magnesium Pro Test Kit for Aquarium, 100 Tests
- VETAFARM SOLUVITE D Breeder 1KG (EVSDB1)
- (3 Pack) AquaClear 70 Foam Filter
- B 7055cmYunYilian Pet Bolster Dog Bed Comfort Comfort Kennel Pet nest (color D, Size 45 35cm)
- Cooling Mat for Dogs, Self Cooling Gel Pet Dog Cat Cool Mat Pad Bed Mattress Heat Relief NonToxic,Great for Dogs Cats in Hot Summer,Pink,XS
- Dog Coat Pet Clothes Pet Coat Outdoor Leisure Soft Spring and Autumn,GreenXS
- Four Paws Pet Products 24Pack Nurser Bottles, 2Ounce
- Huijunwenti Dog Clothes, Autumn and Winter with Thick Cotton Coat Teddy Bear Small and Medium Pet Down Jacket Fashion (color Red, Size M)
- Kess InHouse Oriana Cordero Apetto All'alba Red Teal Dog Bed, 30 by 40Inch
- MigooPet Retractable Dog Leash Cat Leash 16ft Dog Walking LeashDurable Retractable Leashes for Small Medium Breed Dogs up to 45lbs,Upgraded Lock System,Non Slip Rubbery Grip,Tangle Free Pet Leash
- Buckle-Down DLS-W35538 California Flag Weathered Browns Leash Splitter, 1 Wide 30 Length
- bluee Large bluee Large ZfgG Pet Bed Kennel Pet Cat Litter, Autumn And Winter Removable And Washable Large Dog Bed Dog Mat Cat Litter (color bluee, Size L)
- Hexiansheng Cat Climb Trees Pet cat Mat Rope Cat Climbing Frame
- OCSOSO Dog Rain Poncho with Reflective Strip,Yellow, XXS,XS,S,M,L,XL,XXL (S) by OCSOSO
- Pet supplies convenient travel bag 43 23 24.5CM Panoramic Transparent Cat Bag Pet Backpack Cat And Dog Universal Out Convenient Travel Bag XIAHE
- Red XSDog and Cat Predection Inflatable Collar Easy to Eat And Drink Pet Resistant Suitable for Cats Faster Healing 6 Sizes 2 colors