The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
L Dog Life Jacket,SHZONS Reflective Inflatable Adjustable Foldable Dog Life Vest Saver Safety Swimsuit Preserver for Swimming Surfing BoatingClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Large Portable Pet Nest Outdoor Carrying Backpack RackApplaws Natural Complete Dog Food Tin Multipack Jelly Selection, 8x156gGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Anchor Hocking Classic Drum Style Fish Bowl 1.9lsince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
6 lbs. IAMS Proactive Health Mature Adult Small and Toy Breed Dry Dog Food 6 Pounds10CM MAGAI Ball Shaped Air Bubble Disk Stone for Fish Tank, Pond, Aquaponics, Hydroponics (Size 10CM)
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.DIYthinker Long Hair Girl Plump Beauty Anti-Slip Floor Pet Mat Square Home Kitchen Door 80Cm Gift
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
K&H Thermo-Kitty Mat 12.5 x 25 , Sage by K&H ManufacturingKess InHouse Nandita Singh Abstract Print bluee Fleece Dog Bed, 50 by 60 , bluee Pink14 lb Earthborn Holistic Puppy Vantage Dry Dog Food, 14 Lb.
Thunder Snow (20-1):C Hhxx9 Pet Dog Rope Traction Hyena Anti-Lost Lost Anti-Riot Nylon Double-Layer Tensile Soft Mesh Rope 1.5X110Cm,C This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- A XXL A XXL DR Pet Leash Dog Leash Large Medium Small Dog Chain Dog Collar Teddy golden Retriever Dog Rope Durable Traction Belt & seat Belt (color A, Size XXL)
- gold GEEDIAR Bark Collar, Dog No Bark Collars Vibration No Harm Shock Collar USB Rechargeable Humane Anti Bark Training Collar Stop Barking Collar for Small Medium Large Dogs (gold)
- KESS InHouse DP1058ADM02 Danii Pollehn Papaya 2 Pink orange Illustration Dog Place Mat, 24 x 15
- Maerye Largecapacity pet backpack cat bag shoulder bag breathable dog travel bag pet transport bag suitable for 46 kg pet
- Oxbow Western Timothy Hay (1.1kg) (Pack of 6)
- Petface Panier pour chat haute qualité en forme d'igloo Suédine synthétique
- pinkwood Car Dog Guard (One Size) (Black)
- 1\ Lupine Traffic Dog Lead, 1-Inch, 2-Feet, Brook Trout
- Creative Home Fountain Water Decoration Ornaments Living Room Tabletop Fish Tank Lucky Humidifier Folk Crafts 52x33x37cm, Decoration
- KESS InHouse Kess Original Noblefur Green Dots Feeding Mat for Pet Bowl, 18 by 13-Inch
- Cream Bungalow 73 Inch Cream Bungalow 73 Inch Majestic Pet 73-Inch Bungalow Sherpa Cat Tree
- Pet grooming Brush Soft Curved Slicker Shedding Tools for Cats Dogs(Large)
- S Dogs Go Out Portable Water Bottle Pet Cats Outdoor Drinking Water Bottle Large Yellow (Size S)
- Texay(TM) Dog House New Pets Large Beds Fashion Soft Dog House High Quality PP Cotton Plus Size Pet Beds Pets Products HP874
- Brown LMSFCL Pet dog bed Dog bed and cat mattress pet bed, pet bed for joint relief and sleep improvement (multiple sizes, multiple colors to choose from)
- ALOOVOO Pet Travel Backpack Expandable Foldable Pet Carrier Travel Backpack with Padding and Extensionfor Outdoor Travel Walking
- A MediumFlower Print Kennel Mat Luxury Puppy Mat Kitten Pad Pet Supplies Small Large Dogs Beds Soft Flower Carpet Round,C,L
- Derby Originals Turquoise Inlay Leather Halter
- FELIX LARGE DOUBLE INDOOR CAGE WITH STAND FOR RABBITS FERRETS
- HiEnd Accents Silk Embroidery Pillow
- KESS InHouse EBI Emporium Summer Vibes 4, bluee orange Dog Bed, 30 x 40
- MagiDeal Teat Dip Cup for Cow Goat Sheep Nipple Cleaning Disinfection Bath Before
- Green B Green B Simple Upgrade Cat Tree, Cat Toys, Extra Thick Posts Completely Wrapped in Sisal,Solid Wood Cat Tree Tower,Green,B
- DIYthinker Music Green Five-Pointed Star Sounds Anti-Slip Floor Pet Mat Square Home Kitchen Door 80Cm Gift
- A Medium A Medium Pet Carrier Backpack Adjustable Pet Front Dog Cat Legs Out Chest Backpack,Hands-Free for Hiking, Shopping,Parties,A,M
- NZH Pet Backpack Cat Bag Out Carrying Bag Dog Bag Breathable Bag Comfortable Breathable Foldable
- Pet stairs Removable, 3Step For Cats Dogs, Portable Washable Toys For Small Animals
- Red S Bredher's HouseYX Double dog chain one for two small medium and large dog dog Teddy golden Retriever dog rope collar traction rope supplies,Red S