The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Buddha Bronze Fountain GEEZY Garden Water Feature LED Fountain Indoor Outdoor Cascading Freestanding Polyresin Garden Statue Lights & Water Decoration (Buddha Bronze Fountain)Habau Estonia 2996 Birdhouse with Feed Silo and Stand
Mudders with potential:
Herrmann's Menu Saver Pack 12 x 800g Delicious, wholesome wet dog food made with a high percentage of regional, premium organic ingredients 12x800g Venison with Organic ApplesClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
3 LY-YL777 Heavy Chewing Metal Basic Dog Chain Lead Belt Thick Leather Suitable For Medium Dogs (color 3)Cupcake PetPals PP5480-2016 Cat Tree, 19.5 x 19.5 x 52 , Chocolate CreamGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Cgoldna Lime Platinum Pets 24-Ounce Double Diner Stand with 2 Bowls, Cgoldna Limesince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
365 Nano Wave USB Electric Mosquito Insect Killer Lure Trap Mute Night Light Fly Bug Zapper Trap Anti Mosquito LED Lamps WhiteBeds 4 All Pet Steps, 5 Step, Green
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.DCHOUSE Mylar Hydroponics Grow Tent New for Indoor Plant Growing (96 X 48 X 80 )
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Kaytee Exact Hand Feeding for Baby Bird, 18-Ounce by KayteeHOSHT Dog Car Seat Cover with Side Predection, Car Boot Predector Waterproof Non-Slip, for Car Truck SUV VanAnimal Health International Multi-Species Dewormer, 5 lb
Thunder Snow (20-1):Dean & Tyler D&T Fun-CH SZASD RT-L Fun Harness with Padded Chest Piece, Seizure Alert Service Dog, Large, Black with Reflective Trim This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- 12Kg GA Direct Naturals Fish & Rice – Small Bite Adult Dog Food (12Kg)
- Dean & Tyler DT Works orange RECOVERY K9 Harness with Chest Padding, X-Small, and Black 6 ft Padded Puppy Leash.
- KESS InHouse Li Zamperini Florsle Pink Green Dog Bed, 30 x 40
- MEIHAO Durable Dog Bed, Soft Pet Sleepping Bed Sofa Kennel Nest Warmer Cushion with Removable Washable Covers for Dogs and Cats,Brown,M
- PET ARTIST Professional Jute Puppy Dog Bite Leg Sleeves with Handle for Training Work Dog Puppy,Leg Training Sleeves Fit Malinois Police K9 German Shepherd Mastiff
- Pink day Pet Bed Dualuse Pet Nest Kennel Cat Litter Autumn And Winter Warm Small And Medium Pet Mat Four Seasons Universal (color A , Size L)
- SailorMJY Pet Training Mat Dog Cat Urine Pad Fiber Diaper Strong Water Absorption Puppy Training Mat 45cm60cm 50 Pieces
- M-856017cm Gperw Pet Bed Mats bluee Round Sofa Style Striped Mats Free Combination Removable Clean S, M Can Choose (Size S-65 50 16cm) Non Slip Cushion Pad (Size M-85 60 17cm)
- Black 23.6in Black 23.6in Danish Design Pet Products Harness Waterproof Dog Coat (23.6in) (Black)
- Green Burioni Saddlecloth in Cotton and Pure Wool. Model Burioni
- Classy Kitty 21 2 Story Cat Condo 13.5x13.5x26
- Paw Style Interactive LED Light Laser Pointer Cat Toys and The Pink Silicone Button Black by Mimibox
- Reflective RC Pet Products 1 2-Inch Wide Kitty Clip Cat Collar, 8 to 10-Inch
- Ultima Sterilized Cat Food Sensitive Formula 1.5kg – Pack of 8
- bluee Ribbon EE1125 Moss Covered Roots and Logs Exotic Environments Aquarium Ornament
- 3 MediumNwayd Dog Bed，Comes with 7 kinds of pet supplies，Super Soft Pet Sofa Cats Bed，Moistureproof nonslip waterproof，Available in 16 colors and styles.13M
- Amping Lantern Light Mosquito lamp Electronic Repellent for Indoor and Outdoor Nontoxic Trap Baby Sleep Mosquitoes USB AntiMosquito Lamp
- Dog Car Seat Carrier Waterproof Pet Car Seat Cover Foldable Travel Car Carrier Bag Single Seat Dog Safety Predector (Single Seat,Grey)
- Flying Killer Electronic Mini Indoor Mute Mosquito Killing Lamp Insect Killer, Electronic LED Ultrapurple Light Mosquito Trap Killer for Indoor Home Bedroom Office,Brown
- HSXZ Women's shoes Rubber Winter Combat Boots Boots Chunky Heel Round Toe for Outdoor Black Brown
- Kess InHouse Monika Strigel Avalon Coral Ombre Pink Chevron Pet Bowl Placemat for Dog and Cat Feeding Mat, 24 by 15Inch
- Metallic Lime Green 24 ChokeFree Pet Shoulder Collar, 27Inch, Non Metallic Baby bluee
- 42\ your-fantasia Fantastic Ocean Creatures Jellyfish Octopus Corals Pet Bed Dog Bed Pet Pad 42 x 26 inches
- C Pet Bed Ladder,Pet Dog Stair Climbing Ladder Sponge Steps High Cat Dog Climb LadderPet Dog Stair Climbing Ladder Sponge Steps High Cat Dog Climb Ladder
- Black 19.5 × 16 × 14ins Black 19.5 × 16 × 14ins Trixie Lattice Bicycle Basket With Cushion (19.5 × 16 × 14ins) (Black)
- PawTex Premium Couch Cover Dog Bed, Small Medium, Green
- Pet's House OASE BIORB AQUARIUM PLANT SCISSORS AND TONGS SET TERRARIUM MAINTENANCE CLEANING
- Ruff Ruff Couture 02002500BLBXS bluee Roppongi Star TShirt for Dogs, XSmall