The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
Horse Equine Western Saddle Seat Back Pain Relief Comfort Neoprene Gel Pad Tack 4204Classic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Large PetTastic Best Adjustable Large Dog Collar Durable Soft & Heavy Duty with Cute Creative Art Design, Outdoor & Indoor use Comfort Dog Collar for Girls, Boys, Puppy, Adults, Including ID Tag RingHkm Hkm 4057052365584 Riding Bridle Anna with Gelp. Version 29100 Black-bloodedGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Brown 42 by 27-Inch Brown 42 by 27-Inch American Kennel Club Crate Mat, 42 by 27-Inch, Brownsince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Heather 28-32\ Heather 28-32\ Hurtta Casual Padded Dog Harness, Heather, 32 in2 wu-pet supplies Pet Supplies Reflective Traction Rope Creative Dog Belt 145 2cm,02
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Bamboo Stand Dog Cat Food and Water Bowls Stands Feeder Dishes with 2 Stainless Steel Bowls
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
LeMieux Pro Sport Close Contact Saddle Pad Medium BlackBrown 556565cm Brown 556565cm Kennel Dog Houses Outdoor Dog House Solid Wood Waterproof Anti-corrosion Pet Nest With Door With Window Four Seasons Pet House Houses, Crates & Accessories (color Brown, Size 55 65 65cm)Black XL Black XL Jim Hugh Large Dog Harness Fleece Padded Pet Walking Harness Dogs Collars Harnesses Adjustable Outdoor Training Dogs Pets Accessories
Thunder Snow (20-1):Catoutdoor tapestryceiling tapestryHeart Shape Cat and Dog Paw 80W x 60L Inch This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- (Assorted) Cork Bark Size 15 Pound
- Light bluee Legendog Dog Snuffle Mat Slow Feeding Washable Pet Snuffle Mat Pet Feeding Mat
- KESS InHouse Dawid ROC colorful Tribal Pattern Multicolor bluee Pet Bowl, 7
- M TLTLCWW Pet Bed, Cat And Dog Universal Pet Nest, Four Seasons Available, Dog Bed, Pet Dog Sofa, Multisize (Size M)
- Outdoor Wooden Dog kennel House Flat Roof Puppy Shelter Accessible Easy Clean Weather Resistant (Large)
- Petego Car Front Seat Predector, Anthracite
- RONGXIN Pet Halloween Creative Pumpkin Hat Bib Cat Dog
- HVTKL Cat Bowl Drinking Water Bowl Iron Frame Double Ceramic Bowl Cat Food Dog Food Bowl Pet Supplies
- Daeou Pet Backpack Portable Cabin Bag Backpack Bag Space Bag Breathable Bag Oxford Cloth
- Interior Illusions Plus ii00401 Home Decor, Multi-color
- Arm & Hammer Advanced Pet Care Dental Finger Wipes
- Penn Plax WZP3 Wizard Algae Scrubber Pad – For Glass Tanks – 6 x 9
- Richell Freestanding Pet Gate HS White 28.3 in.
- VOSS.farming 9V Electric Fence Energiser KAPPA 7 + 135Ah 9V High Energy Battery 0.4 J, 10,500V 2 Power Settings 12V or Mains Operation Possible for Fences up to 4.4km Made in Germany
- Bolbove Pet Formal Feathered Hat with Charming Poncho Set for Cats & Small Dogs Party Halloween Costume Black
- Adjustable Halter With Leather Headpole
- Cosy Cages Ltd Spring Sale ￡49 delivered free (UK ONLY) Outdoor Cat Kennel Shelter Green Multi
- Dog Car Seat Travel Carrier Pet Travel Safety Car Seat Pet Booster Seats Dog Bed for Car with Storage Pockets, Washable
- Foldable Pet Backpack Portable Rucksack Carry Tote Handbag Breathable Head Out Design, SoftSided Durable for Dog and Cat Outdoor Travel Hiking (Light Pink)
- HUALAN Pet Crate Mattress Dog Cat Cage Mat Cusion Washable Kennel Pads, 30 x 20
- KESS InHouse Natt Into The Leaves N1 Green Dog Bed, 30 x 40
- MIAOLIDP Pet supplies less than 30 kg dog kennel pet nest cat nest cotton nest small medium dog kennel cat nest Pet supplies (color RED, Size 53 70 10cm)
- Henri de Rivel Rubber Lined Web Reins
- Leather Bredhers 4-Feet x 1-Inch Twisted Latigo Dog Lead, Large, Burgundy
- Cat Furniture Play Towers and Trees Cat Play Towers Cat Home sisal Scratch pad Canvas cat nest cat Platform Wash 82 82 42cm
- Open Driftwood Falls AQ PWFD3017S4.D
- Pet Training Pads,Ultra Absorbent Antibacterial LeakFree Smell Resistant Dog Pee Pads Puppy Potty Diapers for Dogs and Cats, Cat Litter Pads,bluee (Size XL 10pcs)
- Reptile Lamp Stand, Adjustable Telescopic Metal Floor Lamp Bracket Heating Lamp Holder for Reptile Glass Terrarium Fish Aquarium