The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
3 DSADDSD Pet Bowl Cat Dog Bowl Rice Water Pots Non-slip Easy to Clean Pet Supplies (color 3 )Classic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
LTWHOME Coarse Foam Filter Fit for AquaOne Aqua One AQUIS 1200 1250 and 1000 1050(Pack of 12)bluee Srjh Pet Bag Cat Out Bag Pet Travel Portable Handbag Cage Dog Take Bag Cat Bag Cat Bag Cat Cage (color bluee)Gormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) 97-161cm LLHYOO HULAN Pet Fence, Solid Wood Door Dog Barrier Teddy Small Dog Door Fence Fence Fence Security Door Barrier Predection Railing (Size 97-161cm)since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Bergan Petite Gourmet 1.5 Gallon Waterer4 5 x 2-20m Heavy Duty Anti Bird Net Nylon Garden Anti Bird Netting Vegetables Pest Plant Fruit Crop Tree Garden Mesh Predect 5x15
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Kess InHouse Vasare Nar Lazy Today Tropical Fleece Dog Bed, 50 by 60 , Yellow Pink
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
L Pet Tent Wooden Dog House Pet Bed Cat Bed Yurt Washable Kennel Cat Litter Small (Size L)16\ Mirage Pet Products Sprinkles Clear Crystal Leather Black Dog Collar, 16 12 Flat Leather Tug 2-handles
Thunder Snow (20-1):Black heytech Reflective Dual Dog Leash for 2 Dogs, 5 ft Main Rope with Two 2 ft Auxiliary Ropes, Double Dog Leash 360° Swivel No Tangle Walking (Black) This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- 12Kg GA Direct Naturals Fish & Rice – Small Bite Adult Dog Food (12Kg)
- Dean & Tyler DT Works orange RECOVERY K9 Harness with Chest Padding, X-Small, and Black 6 ft Padded Puppy Leash.
- KESS InHouse Li Zamperini Florsle Pink Green Dog Bed, 30 x 40
- MEIHAO Durable Dog Bed, Soft Pet Sleepping Bed Sofa Kennel Nest Warmer Cushion with Removable Washable Covers for Dogs and Cats,Brown,M
- PET ARTIST Professional Jute Puppy Dog Bite Leg Sleeves with Handle for Training Work Dog Puppy,Leg Training Sleeves Fit Malinois Police K9 German Shepherd Mastiff
- Pink day Pet Bed Dualuse Pet Nest Kennel Cat Litter Autumn And Winter Warm Small And Medium Pet Mat Four Seasons Universal (color A , Size L)
- SailorMJY Pet Training Mat Dog Cat Urine Pad Fiber Diaper Strong Water Absorption Puppy Training Mat 45cm60cm 50 Pieces
- 7\ KESS InHouse Ebi Emporium Birds of Prey-Tropical 3 Green Pink Pet Bowl, 7
- 60X60cm DIYthinker New Hampshire USA Map Stars Stripes Flag Shape Anti-Slip Floor Pet Mat Round Bathroom Living Room Kitchen Door 60 50Cm Gift
- Green 3343cm green 3343cm YSDTLX Dog Leash Dog Chain Medium Dog Pet Chest Strap Pet Supplies, Green, 3343Cm
- Kess InHouse Catherine McDonald color Block Purple Feeding Mat for Pet Bowl, 18 by 13-Inch
- Outdoorpetbed Large Outdoorpetbed Large WrqqTzdd Pet Camp Bed Steel Frame Summer Mat Mesh Breathable Large Kennel Elevated Portable Waterproof Outdoor Comfortable Load Bearing Strength,OutdoorPetBed,L
- Red Tough 1 Ice Boot
- USB AC DC Air Pump Built-in 4400 Mah Lithium Battery Double Outlet Mute 2W Oxygen Pump, Aeration Pump [Energy Class A]
- Bark Rainbow Unicorn Dog Toy Pete The Frankly Fantastic Unicorn
- Cat Backpack, High Capacity Portable Travel Pet Backpack PU Waterproof Bubbles Bag for Cat Dog Puppy Rabbit,Yellow
- Comfy Pooch Hammock Car Seat Predector 58” x 56”
- Desti Flakes Collapsible Pet Octagonal Tent Pet Octagonal Fence Oxford Cloth Pet Octagonal Cage Cat Dog Cage (color Yellow, Size Small)
- Ferplast Cat Flap Swing 7, White
- High Tech Pet Backup Battery B12V1.3 for High Tech Pet Power Pet Doors
- Kess InHouse Ebi Emporium Whispered Song 2 Pink Green Teal Fleece Dog Bed, 30 by 40
- Majestic Pet 18Inch Rust MicroVelvet Canopy Bed
- Ankway Pet Water Fountain with Anti-bite Pipe, 1.6L Pet Drinking Fountain with Carbon Filters and Water Level Detector, Pet Drinking Dispenser Ultra-Quiet Pet Fountain for Cat Dog Kitten
- Black Fitmark Agility, Black, One Size
- Herringbone Twilight Medium Herringbone Twilight Medium Jax and Bones Standard Plush Velour Cozy Mat, Medium, Herringbone Twilight
- Penn State Nittany Lions Dog Tag Pet Id Tag Personalized w Name & Number
- PetZoom Dog Training Collar with Shock Vibration
- Ryan Pet Nest, Kennel Removable And Washable Mediumsized Large Dog Bed Pet Supplies Winter Warm Pet Nest (color 3, Size S)