The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
Pet Bed Cat Litter Kennel Positive And Negative DualUse Bed Four Seasons Pet Nest Pet SuppliesClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Pet Bag Mesh Breathable Portable Folding Strong and Sturdy Travel Camping Dog Cat Pet Carrier BagPet Bag Mesh Breathable Wool Mat Strong and Sturdy Portable Folding Dog Cat Pet Carrier Bag,blueeGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Pet Bag Out Bag Travel Cat Bag Dog Bag Cat Bag Cage Dog Backpack (color Red, Size C)since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Pet Bed Cats and Dogs pet Bed mat Easy to Carry Canvas bluee Removable Cleaning 5 Size can Choose (Size S50 40 17cm)Pet Bed Creative pet Bed, Warm and Washable cat Litter Kennel in Autumn and Winter, Pet nest (color 1, Size 47cm)
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Pet Bag Out Carrying Bag Portable Breathable Bag (Size L)
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Pet Bed Dog and Cat Pet Beds Mats Circular Four Seasons Soft Cozy Brown (Size Small)Pet Bed Dog Cat Cussion Mat Wicker Four Seasons Soft Warm Washable Scratch Proof for Small Pet (color B, Size 30CM)Pet Bed Dog Mat Pet Mat Small Medium Pet Sleeping Mat Pet Waterloo Cat Dog Nest Bite Resistance Pet Supplies,Pink,M
Thunder Snow (20-1):Pet Bag Out of The Portable Cabin Dog cat cage Bag cat Backpack Bag cat Bag Space Bag Dog Bag Three Holes red and White This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
Pet bag out portable bag cage cat dog Foldable bag handbag breathable bag cat backpack Comfortable fashion bagPet Bag Out Portable Cat Bag Foldable Light Cat Cage Cat Dog Travel Out Breathable Handbag
- M(3M10kg) Pet Dog Leash Lead Dog Flexible Freely Instant Retractable Extendable Dog Lead 5M 3M,Chain Rope Dog Running Lead (orange)
- Marineland Led Light Bar by Perfecto Manufacturing
- 21st Century Glucosamine 500Mg & Chondroitin 400Mg Capsules 60 Ct (2 Pack)
- H large + plant JRTAN&Pet Turtle sunbathing table, sunbathing platform, avoiding holes, H large + plant
- B 705015cm B 705015cm Lozse Pet Beds Pet Large kennel Cat nest warm Four Seasons pet mat for Dogs and Cats Sleeping Cushion
- LIUPP Pet House Rattan Wicker Handmade Double Wicker Pet Dogs And Dogs Rattan Pet Supplies,M