The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
MEI Pet Backpacks Lightweight Pet Carrier Crate, Pet Bag, Easy to Carrry (color Brown, Size M)Classic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
MediTools Animal Catch Pole, Pigs Catcher, Snatcher, Snare 34 Inches with LockMEDIUM LOBSTER PAWS Dog Halloween CostumeGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Medium 2050 Lbs Paws Aboard Red Neoprene Life Jacket, Dog or Cat Life Preserver (Medium 2050 Lbs)since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Meice Memorial Necklace mom,dad,pet,no Longer My Side Forever in My Heart Cremation Pendant JewelryMEIHAO Rectangle Dog Bed, Soft Pet Sleepping Bed Sofa Kennel Nest Warmer Cushion Pet House, Removable Washable Cover and Nonsticky Hair,M
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Medium 67 x 87 x 14 cm Heritage Houndstooth Box Duvet Large 125x79x14cm
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Meilocar Pet Bed Mat for Dogs & Cats (19''x31'', Brown)MEIQI Pet Teepee,Pet Camping Tent Playpens Cage for Dogs Cats Birds Parreds Playpens House Small Animal Indoor Outdoor Play Tent Shelter Breathable Turtles Reptiles CageMEIZOKEN Big Dog Clothes for golden Retriever Dogs Large Size Winter Coat Hoodie Apparel Clothing Sportswear
Thunder Snow (20-1):Medium AKYCD Cat Climbing Frame, Cat Litter Cat Jumping Platform Cat Tunnel Cat Scratch Board Cat Tree Linen Cat Hole Cat Channel Pet Cat Toy (color B, Size S) This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- S Black S Black Stallgamaschen PredECT
- Wysong Epigen 90 Ferret Diet Pet Food, 5-Pound by Wysong
- Cat Litter SemiEnclosed NonSlip Winter Thick Warm Pet House Living Room Bedroom Balcony Universal Kennel (color Royal bluee, Size 42×40×38cm)
- Anzone Pet Transparent Carrier Backpack, Sightseeing Pet Traveller Outdoor Knapsack Waterproof Lightweight Handbag for Small AnimalsGreen
- Daqin Smart Home Use Doorbell Multifunction LCD color Digital Home Security
- EDYUCGA Pet Stroller Cat Dog Out Of Cart Oneclick Folding Light Carry,Black
- Etna 3Panel Leaf Design Metal Pet Gate Decorative Tri Fold Dog Fence
- Happy Tails Corduroy Cuddler Bed for Pets, 21 by 17Inch, Pine Green
- Kess InHouse Alison Coxon Feather Colour Feeding Mat for Pet Bowl, 18 by 13
- LIFUREN Fish tank filter Filter bucket triple External Clean water device Waterfall (Size 800L H)
- Nudges Steak Grillers Dog Treats (3 Flavor Jerky CUTS Bundle)
- Pet Sneakers,Leather Skid Boot Cotton Winter Warm Oxford Boots 4 Pcs Dog Boots 4 color 5 Size (color bluee, Size 5 )
- Pure Country 1177LS Airedale Pet Blanket, Canine on Beige Background, 54 by 54Inch
- Dean & Tyler's DT Works TRACKING DOG Harness, X-Small, with 6 ft Padded Puppy Leash.
- Hamilton Cowboy Braided Rope Lead bluee 5 8 Thick x 10' Long
- KESS InHouse Bruce Stanfield Mexico Emblem Brown White Dog Bed, 30 x 40